Virginia Votes 2013

Tuesday is Election Day, and in Virginia the races for governor and other state executives are making plenty of headlines. But in addition to these high-profile offices, Virginians will also be choosing new representatives for the state's House of Delegates.

Actually, that's not entirely accurate. Many of the delegates who are elected won't be new. And in close to half of the house races, voter's won't have much of a choice.

Eighty-seven of the 100 house races feature incumbent candidates, 42 of whom are running unopposed. Of all the races, 45 have only one candidate on the ballot.

Virginia House of Delegates 2013
Candidate Parties in District Races
* = Incumbent candidate

In 2010, Virginia redrew district lines for the House of Delegates. Like the congressional redistricting process at the national level, Virginia's redistricting was based on Census results and intended to divide the state into districts of roughly equal population.

How did redistricting affect the competitiveness of Delegates races?

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In 2009, before redistricting, 54 of 100 races included candidates from both major parties, and nine of those also featured at least one third-party candidate. In 30 races, major party candidates ran unopposed.

In 2011, the first House of Delegates election after redistricting, the number of races with candidates from both major parties fell to 27 — half of what it was two years before. Forty-three races saw Republican candidates running unopposed, up from 21 in 2009. Democratic candidates ran unopposed in 20 races, up from nine in 2009.

This year's elections will be more competitive, on the whole, than in 2011, but there are still more one-sided races than before redistricting. Forty-three races have both Republican and Democratic candidates, and seven of those also include third-party candidates. Republicans are running unopposed in 29 races, and Democrats are unopposed in 16.

The 2010 redistricting process also redrew lines for the state Senate districts. State senate elections won't be held again until 2015, but so far redistricting has offered mixed results in terms of competitiveness in the Virginia Senate.

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In the 40 senate districts, the number of races with candidates from both major parties increased from 16 in 2007 to 24 in 2011. At the same time, the number of unopposed Democratic candidates fell from nine to three, while the number of unopposed Republicans increased from eight to 11.

The Virginia Public Access Project has some great information on the 2010 redistricting process, including maps and lists of precincts that changed districts between the 2009 and 2011 elections.

Data Sources: Virginia State Board of Elections, Election Results

Chart Tools: Google, Adobe Illustrator

Assignment 1: Show the Data — U.S. Federal Budget

There have been a lot of stories coming out of Washington lately, and the federal budget really hasn't been one of them. That will likely change soon. As of May 15 Congress can begin considering appropriations bills for the 2014 fiscal year, meaning between now and September we can expect to hear more about how much money federal agencies will have to spend in the coming year.

Despite its seemingly unlimited pockets, Congress is required to abide by specific spending limits each year. Who sets these limits? The President's Budget gets a lot of attention when it's released each February (or April as was the case this year), but these budget recommendations are just that — recommendations. Congress actually sets its own spending limits with an annual budget resolution, usually passed in April.

By law, once the president has released a recommended budget, both the Senate and the House of Representatives draw on that document and their own priorities to draft separate budget resolutions. Once each house approves its own resolution, they swap notes and hammer out their differences in a report that becomes a binding outline of next year's spending. The final budget resolution is the basis for appropriations bills that portion out money to specific agencies.

Of course nothing's straightforward in the Congress, and lawmakers have failed to agree on a final budget resolution for the last three fiscal years. A budget resolution for 2014 also appears to be dead in the water. 

So how much does Congress have to spend in 2014? Well, it depends where you look.

Fiscal Year 2014 Outlays by Category (in millions of dollars)
Technically, when Congress fails to pass a budget resolution the previous year's resolution remains in effect. The last successful budget resolution was Senate Concurrent Resolution 13 (S.Con.Res. 13 ENR). It was passed for the 2010 fiscal year but includes spending levels for 2011 through 2014. In years when no final budget resolution is passed, the House sometimes formally adopts its own resolution as binding for the purposes of making appropriations.

The charts above show spending levels for 2014 outlined in S.Con.Res. 13 alongside those proposed by the House and the Senate in separate resolutions this spring. None of these is a definitive guideline for next year's appropriations, but it's fun to compare them.

It's also fun to compare spending levels for each category over time.

Notice how Homeland Security got its own spending category in 2005. The Overseas Contingency Operations/Global War on Terror category was originally called Overseas Deployments and Other Activities when it showed up in the 2008 budget.

U.S. Federal Budget Outlays by Category, 2000-2012 (in millions of dollars)

Data Sources: 2014 - S.Con.Res. 13 ENR (111th Congress), H.Con.Res. 25 PCS, (113th Congress); S.Con.Res. 8 ES (113th Congress); 2012 - H.Con.Res. 34 (112th Congress); 2011 - H.Res. 1493 (111th Congress); 2010 - S.Con.Res. 13 ENR (111th Congress); 2009 - S.Con.Res. 70 ENR (110th Congress); 2008 - S.Con.Res. 21 ENR (110th Congress); 2007 - H.Con.Res. 376 EH (109th Congress); 2006 - H.Con.Res. 95 ENR (109th Congress); 2005 - S.Con.Res. 95 (108th Congress); 2004 - H.Con.Res. 95 ENR (108th Congress); 2003 - H.Con.Res. 353 EH (107th Congress); 2002 - H.Con.Res. 83 ENR (107th Congress); 2001 - H.Con.Res. 290 ENR (106th Congress); 2000 - H.Con.Res. 68 ENR (106th Congress).
Accessed through THOMAS between May 14, 2013, and May 20, 2013.

Chart Tool: Google Docs